KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Dec 1, 2026 11%-6.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$375.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Kash Patel say during the Senate FBI hearing?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office in 2026?
PredictItRules
If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 23%
- Also available on Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · August 31 50%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kash Patel out as FBI Director??
- Kalshi prices Before Dec 1, 2026 at 11% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Kash Patel out as FBI Director? resolve?
- Kash Patel out as FBI Director? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Kash Patel out as FBI Director? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Kash Patel out as FBI Director? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Limitless.