KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Dec 1, 2026 · —
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Stored price
Before Dec 1, 2026 14%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Dec 1, 2026 14%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$104
Open interest
$19.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Dec 1, 2026Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Dec 1, 2026
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Kash PatelThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersFederal Bureau of InvestigationCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.