How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 1:09 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
255-259 · —
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Stored reference
255-259 31.1%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
255-259 31.1%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.6K
Liquidity
$44.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
255-259Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Nov 5, 26, 1:02 AM UTCJan 4, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 255-259
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The election for Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is expected to take place on January 3, 2027, on the opening day of the 120th United States Congress.
- This market will resolve according to the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on the first ballot for Speaker of the House for the 120th United States Congress, as announced by the Clerk of the House.
- A ballot is a roll call vote of the House to elect a Speaker, as conducted and announced by the Clerk of the House.
- Quorum calls and votes on procedural motions (such as motions to adjourn) are not ballots.
- Only votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries by name on the first such ballot will count, regardless of whether he is elected on that ballot.
- If Hakeem Jeffries receives no votes on the first ballot, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.