Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 89%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 11, 26, 4:34 AM UTCNov 7, 26, 4:34 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.
- resolves yes if hakeem jeffries is speaker.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is a democrat, but not hakeem jeffries.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is not a democrat. eg. independent, republican, greens etc.
