Will there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
PoliticsOne-OffCrime & JusticeTechElectionUS PoliticsSociety & Culture1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.1%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 25, 1:27 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAssassination attempt on anyone who has had their security detail pulled by Trump by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves to YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, as reported by at least two major news outlets.
- A credible attempt means law enforcement confirms the threat was real and steps were taken to prevent it.
- Resolution will be based on official law enforcement statements and verified news reports.
- https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/kill-elon-musk-says-tiktoker-to-followers-elon-musk-replies-everybody-/articleshow/118346755.cms
- https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/elon-musk-faces-assassination-threat-cryptic-social-media-post-targets-the-tesla-boss-7292764
