Will there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
PoliticsOne-OffCrime & JusticeTechElectionUS PoliticsSociety & Culture8dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.1%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 25, 1:27 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, as reported by at least two major news outlets.
- A credible attempt means law enforcement confirms the threat was real and steps were taken to prevent it.
- Resolution will be based on official law enforcement statements and verified news reports.
- https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/kill-elon-musk-says-tiktoker-to-followers-elon-musk-replies-everybody-/articleshow/118346755.cms
- https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/elon-musk-faces-assassination-threat-cryptic-social-media-post-targets-the-tesla-boss-7292764
