Will Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
PoliticsOne-Off2026 US Midterms11d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 91.4%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Oct 20, 26, 12:57 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves Yes if Jeffries is the Speaker or Minority Leader following the Midterms.
- Resolves when the first Speaker and Minority Leader are elected.
