IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 22, 26, 7:19 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Hakeem Jeffries be Speaker following the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries win the New York 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent
KalshiRules
resolves YES if Hakeem Jeffries is the speaker of the house after democrats win control.
- Must be the first speaker for the democrats.
- If someone else is elected speaker and he becomes speaker in 2028, doesn’t count.
- Resolves based on first house speaker after the 2026 midterms that is supported by democrats.
- N/a if democrats don't win the house
