Current implied probability
40-45% 39.8%+1.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
40-45% 39.8%+1.5ptMarket quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$792.4
Liquidity
$86K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 10:50 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWill Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party.
- Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
