Current community forecast
Yes 95.4%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 1:30 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Winner
SmarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Labour Party candidate (Sagal Abdi-Wali) wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election scheduled for October 8, 2026.
- It will resolve to NO if any other candidate wins the seat.
- The outcome will be verified using the official election results published by Camden Council.
- The 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election was triggered on September 1, 2026, following the resignation of former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer as the Member of Parliament for the constituency.
- Starmer, who stood down as Prime Minister earlier in 2026, announced he was vacating his parliamentary seat to focus on international affairs.
