Current implied probability
Labour 10-15% 30.3%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Labour 10-15% 30.3%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$124.7K
High liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 10:50 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this by-election.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the candidate who wins the most valid votes and the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes.
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate in question.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
