PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 15%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.5%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 7:17 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes15%
Volume trend
$1Jul 62d of dataJul 7
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This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.