Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms11d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Sullivan 3-6% · —
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Stored reference
Sullivan 3-6% 26.7%Leader of 10 outcomes
Sullivan 3-6% 26.7%Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$40.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Sullivan 3-6%Spread
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Comments
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 9:24 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Sullivan 3-6%
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Manifold MarketsRules
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final reported round of the specified election.
- The final reported round refers to the last tabulated round that features two or more candidates.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot.