Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
GeopoliticsOne-OffChessChinaSports1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 26, 3:34 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Zhang Shengmin, a general of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before January 1, 2028.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CCP or Chinese state media confirming his expulsion.
- The market resolves NO if he remains a party member through December 31, 2027.
- On October 23, 2025, the CCP announced Zhang's elevation to the position of Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, making him the country's number two general.
- He is a Deputy Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, the top anti-corruption agency of the Chinese Communist Party.
