Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsChina1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 26, 3:33 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Zhang Youxia is formally expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before January 1, 2028.
- Resolution will be determined by official CCP announcements or credible reporting from major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, BBC, etc.) confirming his expulsion.
- The expulsion must be explicitly stated as removal from Party membership; demotion, removal from office, or other disciplinary actions alone do not qualify.
- Zhang Youxia is a Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and currently the first-ranked vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC).
- In October 2017, Zhang was named as a member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party and the second-ranking vice chairman of the CCP Central Military Commission.