Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.6%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 19, 23, 7:44 PM UTCJan 2, 33, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Manifold MarketsWill Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.