Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
GeopoliticsOne-OffAIMiddle EastTech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.6%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 11, 26, 3:52 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC), there is a confirmed physical bombing or explosive strike against a data center facility primarily dedicated to or publicly characterized as an AI data center.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Bombing or explosive strike" is defined as a deliberate physical attack using kinetic ordnance containing explosives.
- This includes missiles, military bombs, artillery, explosive-laden suicide/kamikaze drones (such as Shahed drones), or improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027? resolve?
- Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria