Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
EconomyAIOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsMiddle East3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 60.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 7, 26, 4:16 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a bill is introduced in the United States Senate that meets all of the following conditions:
- It is formally cosponsored by at least two Democratic Senators and at least two Republican Senators.
- The text of the bill explicitly mentions "widespread job loss" (or a grammatically equivalent phrase clearly referring to the phenomenon of broad-based unemployment) resulting from artificial intelligence.
- The market will resolve to NO if no such bill is introduced and cosponsored by January 1, 2030.
