Current community forecast
Yes 75.7%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 11, 24, 12:09 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
Manifold MarketsWill two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' 5 AI Predictions For The Year 2030.
- Also, don't miss Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2024" (all gathered under one tag.
- I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2030's predictions.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- The other 2030 prediction markets below: 1.
- Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower than it is today.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+26.0pt60.4%
- 180-199-7.5pt32.7%
- 200-219-9.9pt4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $371.9K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.9%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.3%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.4%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Total Vol
- $254K
- 24h Vol
- $250.1K
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 76% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. resolve?
- 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is 2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues. settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' 5 AI Predictions For The Year 2030.