Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 36.4%
Forecasters
527
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 days ago
StaleNov 10, 24, 4:57 AMJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes36%
Related Markets
What will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
$134.7Trump acquire/ invade/annex Greenland: 13.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
$70Yes: 14.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin meet in person in year 2026?
$0Yes: 2.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
$645Before Oct 1, 2026: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
$72.6Yes: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Nord Stream 2 open?
$10Yes: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Dnipro strike hits Ukraine as Polymarket raises Crimea recapture odds to 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.