KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2 43%-32.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
2 43%-32.0ptMarket quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.9K
Open interest
$40.7K
High open interestSpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiHow many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill Vladimir Putin visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong-Un visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill MBS visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- How this is resolved A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included - i.e. if Oct 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Oct 2026, that will count as a visit.
Rules for each outcome
- 2
- If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5
- If Trump makes exactly 5 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
