How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Oct 2026?
7.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffSportsGolf23d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
3 38%+7.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
3 38%+7.0ptMarket quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$14.3K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
1Lost
Before close: 1% ·
0Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:releases and public statements of White HouseFox NewsBBCThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCReutersThe GuardianAxiosCNNthe White HouseThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. and ends when Donald Trump has left Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Oct 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. at the beginning of Oct 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Oct 2026 count individually.
Rules for each outcome
- 3
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.