Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 67.5%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 24, 3:58 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_missile_strikes_in_Pakistan
- I will not bet in this market
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? resolve?
- Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)