Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
GeopoliticsOne-OffAI9y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 61.2%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 24, 12:28 PM UTCJan 1, 36, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Criteria for Resolution:
- Military Operation: There must be an official, organized military operation explicitly aimed at slowing down the development of artificial intelligence.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to slow down AI development must be explicitly stated by the military or governmental authorities responsible for the operation.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035? resolve?
- Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2036.
- How is Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Criteria for Resolution: