Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
GeopoliticsOne-OffAI9y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.2%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 24, 12:28 PM UTCJan 1, 36, 10:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Criteria for Resolution:
- Military Operation: There must be an official, organized military operation explicitly aimed at slowing down the development of artificial intelligence.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to slow down AI development must be explicitly stated by the military or governmental authorities responsible for the operation.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation: