Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
AIOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 73.9%
Forecasters
61
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 23, 11:40 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.
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+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? resolve?
- Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.