Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsChina3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 62.1%
Forecasters
119
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleDec 25, 23, 8:24 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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