Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 5:00 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the USA go in a civil war before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.