PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 97%+0.3pt
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$88.8
Liquidity
$61.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.9% / 3.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
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PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
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FutuurKim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? resolve?
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.