North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
6.5 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-Off2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 16%
December 31 16%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$628.8
Liquidity
$10.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$717
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 18, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · December 31
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between North Korea and South Korea by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
- A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person.
- Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs.