North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
0.8 pts (24h)GeopoliticsOne-Off3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31 27%+0.5pt
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$515.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
0
7d Change
-2.6 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between North Korea and South Korea by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
- A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person.
- Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs.