Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3y
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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 83.9%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 24, 1:40 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court nominee?
PredictItWill Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?
PredictItRules
If a Democratic president's SCOTUS nominee is confirmed by a Republican-controlled Senate, or vice versa, resolves YES.
