Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3y
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Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 63.8%
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84
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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StaleFeb 13, 24, 8:46 PM UTCNov 8, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
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KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Political supporters of both 2024 party frontrunners Donald Trump and Joe Biden have claimed the other candidate is undemocratic in one way or another.
- Many have said the outcome of the 2024 election will determine the fate of American democracy.
- I decided to make this question to put this to the test: How likely do we actually think the end of democracy will occur in the next four years?
- I understand this is an extremely contentious topic so I want to be specific about criteria.
- This question will only resolve YES if the following conditions are met:
- The election has to happen.
