Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle East3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.1%
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 21, 23, 1:37 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:00 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
The last election was in 2005.
- Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election
- Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations).
- Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election".
- Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok.