PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Japan 10%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.9
Liquidity
$89.3K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 4:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? · New Zealand 9%