PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Lebanon · —
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Stored reference
Lebanon 9%Leader of 16 outcomes
Lebanon 9%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$596.9
Liquidity
$410.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$122.3K
Bid / Ask
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LebanonSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 5:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Lebanon
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWill as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhich of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.