Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.5%
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33
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMay 23, 24, 8:42 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
As of May 2024, the State of Palestine is recognized as a sovereign state by 143 of the 193 member states of the United Nations, while Israel is recognized by 165 UN member states.
- On May 22nd, 2024, Ireland, Norway and Spain announced that they would officially recognize Palestinian statehood.
- The decision would bring the number of UN member states that recognize a Palestinian state to 146.
- For this question, a country means a member state of the United Nations.
- The question resolves using the Wikipedia articles International recognition of the State of Palestine and International recognition of Israel, on January 1st, 2027.