Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?
One-OffGeopolitics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.1%
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Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 23, 3:11 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_Sahrawi_Arab_Democratic_Republic
- The Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) is a partially recognized state in the Western Sahara, which is currently disputed and administered by Morocco.
- According to Wikipedia, the SADR has been recognized by 84 different UN member states at various times, but that number has been decreasing.
- As of EOY 2023 the SADR maintains diplomatic relations with 46 UN member states, and is a full member of the African Union.
- Will this number still be 40 or more by 2030?
