Current community forecast
Yes 63%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJul 30, 25, 10:02 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).
- Although there have been local elections, at the national level, Palestine has not held an election in 20 years.
- This question resolves YES if Palestine holds an election recognizably national in character.
- A presidential election would count, a parliamentary election would count, but local elections would not count.
- A presidential or parliamentary election for a large fraction but not all of Palestine (e.g. just the West Bank) would count, if it purports and is widely understood to be a national election for Palestine.
- The election needs merely to have substantively happened, regardless of its quality or results.
