Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 17, 23, 1:14 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves based on whether the wikipedia page "State of Palestine" uses the past tense, as in "The State of Palestine was..." instead of the current "The State of Palestine is..."
- I will also use common sense to avoid vandalism etc and to resolve the question of whether it still exists but the present/past tense is the main criteria by which I will judge the question in order to avoid controversy.