What are the current odds for Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 81.7% as of October 18, 2026.

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Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Religion14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 81.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Stale

Feb 26, 24, 12:08 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

They have to publicly say that they identify as Jewish for it to count

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Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?

Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?

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