Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 30, 23, 5:27 PM UTCFeb 1, 33, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?
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Manifold MarketsRules
They can be president for any length of time.
- They must be religiously jewish, not just culturally/genetically so.
- (They don't have to be highly observant.)
- This market closes right after inauguration day 2033.
