Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
One-OffPoliticsEuropeRegulation2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.2%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 22, 26, 3:28 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsUK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
Manifold MarketsWill Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the UK announces or creates a standalone agency specifically tasked with tracking and removing illegal immigrants.
