Current community forecast
No 89.6%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingJan 4, 26, 1:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
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PolymarketRules
According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or something destabilising happens like the government is dissolved, or replaced by another at a time other than an ordinary regular election.
- If they are voted out in an ordinary and normally timed electoral manner then it resolved N/A. At time of writing (4th of January), the rating is 9%, and it was recently (and plausibly again soon) 7%.
- I think it's worth asking the question of them again for a new year. 🤡🃏 Unfortunately I guess I have to say that the alternatives are worse 🤷♂️.
