Current community forecast
No 89.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 26, 2:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessRules
Similar to last years market, lets do it again.
- According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or the government is dissolved, or is replaced by another at a time other than a normal election.
- If the government chooses to run an election this year (extremely early) and is voted out then it resolves N/A. At time of writing (9th of March), the rating is 10%, it reached 8% last year.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026. resolve?
- UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026. is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026. settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Similar to last years market, lets do it again.