Current community forecast
No 89.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 26, 2:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
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KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRules
Similar to last years market, lets do it again.
- According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or the government is dissolved, or is replaced by another at a time other than a normal election.
- If the government chooses to run an election this year (extremely early) and is voted out then it resolves N/A. At time of writing (9th of March), the rating is 10%, it reached 8% last year.