PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
38.0–38.4 · —
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Stored reference
38.0–38.4 38.2%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
38.0–38.4 38.2%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
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38.0–38.4Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 7:42 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 38.0–38.4
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/23-10/30)
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026.
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.
- Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
- Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on PredictIt — Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 30? · 38.1% or lower
- Also available on Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026? · 38.3 to 38.5 30%