PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
↑ 47% 14%+1.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.8
Liquidity
$6.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.5 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 12:41 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
LimitlessHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026??
- Polymarket prices ↑ 47% at 14% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? resolve?
- How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026.