Will the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
WeatherRegulationOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 60.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 28, 26, 9:04 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the UK Government lowers the 2026 ZEV mandate target below 33% for cars or delays compliance with the 33% target beyond 2026 before 31 December 2026.
- This includes any official government announcement, legislative change, or regulatory amendment that reduces the headline target or extends the deadline for meeting it.
- Resolution will be determined by official UK government sources, including Department for Transport (DfT) announcements, statutory instruments, or parliamentary legislation.
- The market resolves NO if the 33% target remains in effect and the government does not formally weaken or delay it by the deadline.
