Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?

GeopoliticsOne-OffHealth & Medicine3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 66.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Feb 9, 23, 9:03 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

A tie being any total score from the judges of 3 to -3, where neither participant must pay any money to the other.

View the exact terms of the bet here, and the background here and here.
Resolves N/A if the bet is cancelled.
Related markets:

Report a data issue with this market

Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?

GeopoliticsOne-OffHealth & Medicine3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 66.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Feb 9, 23, 9:03 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Manifold Markets

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Polymarket

Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?

Manifold Markets

What will be the LWCW 2026 COVID testing policy?

Manifold Markets

Will CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?

Kalshi

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Polymarket

Rules

A tie being any total score from the judges of 3 to -3, where neither participant must pay any money to the other.

View the exact terms of the bet here, and the background here and here.
Resolves N/A if the bet is cancelled.
Related markets:

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie??: Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie? resolve?: Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
How is Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A tie being any total score from the judges of 3 to -3, where neither participant must pay any money to the other.

Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?

Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?

Frequently asked questions

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