What are the current odds for Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 30, 2026.

Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more?

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election 2026 US Midterms1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 50%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 minutes ago

Sep 30, 26, 2:16 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas#District_12

Resolves YES if Craig Goldman (r) wins by 16.000% or more.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more? resolve?: Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
How is Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas#District_12

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Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more?

Will the republican win Texas 12th house district by 16% or more?

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