What are the current odds for Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Adam Smith at 95% as of September 30, 2026.

Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026?

0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election 2026 US Midterms1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Adam Smith 95%+0.1pt

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+0.1 pts

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

May 26, 26, 2:45 AM UTCNov 5, 26, 10:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Jerrod Sessler win the Washington 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ForecastEx

Will Michael Baumgartner win the Washington 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ForecastEx

Will Marilyn Strickland win the Washington 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ForecastEx

Will Emily Randall win the Washington 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ForecastEx

Atlanta vs Washington: 4th Quarter Spread

Kalshi

Atlanta vs Washington: 4th Quarter Total

Kalshi

Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington#District_9

Resolves yes to the winner if the November general election
I will add candidates if required.
Bet other if you think someone else will win

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026??: Manifold Markets prices Adam Smith at 95% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026? resolve?: Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2026.
How is Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington#District_9

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/who-will-win-washingtons-9th-house

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

Data API docs Connect an agent

Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026?

Who will win Washington’s 9th house election in 2026?

Open markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Next French Presidential Election

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Next French Presidential Election

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?