Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026?
One-OffGeopoliticsCommoditiesSpacePolitics21dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.7%
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1
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingMar 31, 26, 4:22 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
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PredictItRules
This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by September 30, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by September 30, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? resolve?
- Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.