Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
GeopoliticsOne-OffSpace9moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:23 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by June 30, 2027
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027? resolve?
- Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.